Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
38.48% ( -0.12)	29.06% ( 0.56)	32.46% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 44.39% (

-1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.74% (

-1.98)

62.26% (

1.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.07% (

-1.48)

81.93% (

1.47)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.65% (

-1.07)

31.35% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.29% (

-1.26)

67.71% (

1.26)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.67% (

-1.36)

35.33% (

1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.91% (

-1.45)

72.09% (

1.45)

Score Analysis

Santos 38.47%

Atletico Mineiro 32.46%

Draw 29.05%

Santos	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.47%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.05%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.1% Total : 32.46%