Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Ceara0 - 1Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Ceara and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
8
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
7
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ceara | Draw | Palmeiras |
29.45% ( -0) | 27.29% ( 0.01) | 43.27% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
