Copa do Brasil
Palmeiras
May 22, 2025 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
Ceara
  • Estevao Willian 67' goal
  • Estevao Willian 69' goal
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 87' goal
  • goal 44'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ramos 78'

Palmeiras vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 30, 2025 11.30pm
Ceara 0 - 1 Palmeiras

Ceara

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Apr 30, 2025 11.30pm
Ceara 0 - 1 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 68.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Palmeiras 68.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 19.79% ▼ (-0.07)
Ceara 11.8% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.3% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.78% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 49.22% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 28.72% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 71.28% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 13.8% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 86.2% ▼ (-0.10)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 86.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 13.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 59.76% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 40.24% ▼ (-0.16)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 49.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 50.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 15.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 84.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 68.4%
Draw 19.79%
Ceara 11.8%
Palmeiras
2-0 @ 13.54%
1-0 @ 13.45% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 68.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 19.79%
Ceara
0-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 11.8%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Ceara
Apr 30, 2025 11.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Palmeiras
  • Lucas Mugni 10' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique 43' yellowcard
  • Willian Estefani Machado 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 14'
  • yellowcard Agustin Giay 21'
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 34'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard Mauricio 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Ceara
Jul 30, 2022 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Palmeiras
  • Vinicius 27' yellowcard
  • Richardson 50' redcard
  • Guilherme Castilho 71' yellowcard
  • Stiven Mendoza 80' goal
  • Bruno Pacheco 86' yellowcard
  • goal Dudu 31'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 45'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Piquerez 67'
  • yellowcard Murilo Cerqueira 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Palmeiras
Apr 10, 2022 1.00am
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Ceara
  • Jorge 20' yellowcard
  • Ze Rafael 22' goal
  • Ze Rafael 31' yellowcard
  • Marcos Rocha 51' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 90'+5' goal
  • Danilo 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge 7' (OG)
  • goal Stiven Mendoza 14'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 27'
  • yellowcard Stiven Mendoza 28'
  • yellowcard Luiz Otavio 33'
  • yellowcard Richard 63'
  • yellowcard Erick 73'
  • yellowcard Geovane 82'
  • goal Lucas Ribeiro 86'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Lindoso 90'+5'
  • redcard Vinicius 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Nino Paraiba 90'+11'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Palmeiras
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Ceara
  • Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo 42' goal
  • Kevin 42' goal
  • Vitor Hugo Ferreira Oliveira 55' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 55' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Silva 76' yellowcard
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Ceara
Oct 20, 2021 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Palmeiras
  • Igor 59' yellowcard
  • Vinicius 78' yellowcard
  • Erick 80' yellowcard
  • Cleber 89' goal
  • Luiz Otavio 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ze Rafael 45'+4'
  • goal Deyverson 72'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 81'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 86'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Ceara
Jan 24, 2021 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Palmeiras
  • Vinicius Lima 10' goal
  • Vinicius 29' goal
  • Eduardo 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Leo Chu 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick de Paula 27'
  • goal Gabriel Veron 31'
  • yellowcard Alan Empereur 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Emerson Santos 49'
  • yellowcard Felipe Melo 84'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 85'

Form Data

Bragantino 1 - 2 Palmeiras
Palmeiras 2 - 0 Bolivar
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Cerro Porteno 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Vasco 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Ceara 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Ceara 2 - 0 Sport
Santos 0 - 0 Ceara
Ceara 1 - 0 Vitoria
Ceara 0 - 1 Palmeiras
Ceara 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Bahia 1 - 0 Ceara