Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno
0 - 2
Palmeiras


Viera (82'), Viera (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Willian (41', 41'), Roque (90+4', 90+4')
Fuchs (21'), Fuchs (21'), Evangelista (23'), Evangelista (23'), Rios (74'), Rios (74')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-2 Cristal
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 22.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawPalmeiras
22.71% (1.096 1.1)25.62% (0.11 0.11)51.67% (-1.203 -1.2)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.989 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.94% (0.624 0.62)55.07% (-0.619 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68% (0.514 0.51)76.33% (-0.509 -0.51)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.51% (1.448 1.45)39.49% (-1.442 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.82% (1.318 1.32)76.18% (-1.313 -1.31)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.249 -0.25)21.35% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-0.388 -0.39)54.31% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 22.71%
    Palmeiras 51.66%
    Draw 25.62%
Cerro PortenoDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.258 0.26)
2-0 @ 3.64% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.74% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.13% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.71%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 13.01% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-2 @ 10.05% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 5.17% (-0.249 -0.25)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.66%

Head to Head
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
1-0
Cerro Porteno
Rios (41')

Piris (70'), Morel (84')
May 24, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-3
Palmeiras

Piris (33'), Cardozo (77')
Baez (15')
Artur (25', 58'), Rony (68')
Piquerez (39'), Gomez (56')
Rios (77')
Apr 21, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
2-1
Cerro Porteno
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
5-0
Cerro Porteno
Samudio (37' og.), Rony (73', 83'), Lopes (75'), Gomez (78')
Menino (40'), Danilo (52'), Rony (59')

Patino (46'), Espinola (83')
> Preview
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
0-3
Palmeiras

Espinola (80')
Rony (61', 71'), Cerqueira (87')
Scarpa (56')
> Preview
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