Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Palmeiras
25.51% ( -1.02)	27.2% ( 0.01)	47.29% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 45.96% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.42% (

-0.63)

58.58% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.85% (

-0.49)

79.15% (

0.5)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14% (

-1.24)

38.86% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.41% (

-1.19)

75.59% (

1.19)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

0.21)

24.82% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

0.29)

59.41% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 25.51%

Palmeiras 47.29%

Draw 27.19%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.51%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.29%