Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek
  • Luiz Gustavo Marinho Ribeiro dos Santos 51' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • Paulo Henrique 58' yellowcard
  • goal Vitor Roque 60'

Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
Cruzeiro 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pablo Vegetti

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
Palmeiras 0 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result

Vasco da Gama 25.51% (-1.02)
Draw 27.2% (+0.01)
Palmeiras 47.29% (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.96% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.42% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 58.58% (+0.64)
Over 3.5 20.85% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 79.15% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 8.83% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 91.17% (+0.30)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 61.14% (-1.24)
Under 0.5 38.86% (+1.24)
Over 1.5 24.41% (-1.19)
Under 1.5 75.59% (+1.19)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 24.82% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 40.59% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 59.41% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 25.51%
Draw 27.19%
Palmeiras 47.29%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 6% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 4.31% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.36% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 25.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 9.65% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.19%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 13.44% (+0.41)
0-2 @ 9.37% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 8.85% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.35% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.11% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.52% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 47.29%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pablo Vegetti 68' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 26'
  • yellowcard Richard Rios 76'
  • yellowcard Ze Rafael 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Weverton 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Joaquin Piquerez 26' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 56' goal
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • Rony 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 51'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Victor Luis 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Richard Rios 56' yellowcard
  • Raphael Veiga 65' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 16'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 48'
  • yellowcard Ze Gabriel 64'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 90'+9'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
  • Pedro Raul 29' goal
  • Gabriel Pec 40' goal
  • goal Rafael Navarro 45'+1'
  • goal Artur 62'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Jan 26, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Breno Lopes 31' goal
  • Benjamin Kuscevic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Benitez 29'
  • goal Martin Benitez 35'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Nov 8, 2020 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leo Matos 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 4'
  • goal Luiz Adriano 73'
  • yellowcard Matias Vina 86'
  • yellowcard Lucas Lima 90'+3'