Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Germano Kruger
Vasco da Gama

Operario PR
1 - 1
Vasco

Boschilia (72')
Allano (23'), Mauricio de Oliveira Figueiredo (66'), Sant'anna Rodrigues (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moreira (20')
Piton (25'), Freitas (60')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Operario Ferroviario and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Operario Ferroviario

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Last Game: Operario PR 1-0 Tombense
Wednesday, March 12 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ferroviario win with a probability of 36%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ferroviario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Operario FerroviarioDrawVasco da Gama
36% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.62%35.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 45.97% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (0.004999999999999 0)80.61%
Operario Ferroviario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)68.47% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.91% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Operario Ferroviario 36%
    Vasco da Gama 35.38%
    Draw 28.61%
Operario FerroviarioDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 7.59%
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 6.59%
1-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.38%

rhs 2.0


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