Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ferroviario win with a probability of 36%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ferroviario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.