Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 12, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Germano Kruger

Operario PR
1 - 0
Tombense

Mingotti (1')
Lucas Figueiredo (56'), Fransergio (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

da Conceicao Araujo (22'), Lopes Dionizio Muniz (76'), Lopes Dionizio Muniz (87')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Operario Ferroviario and Tombense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Operario Ferroviario

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Last Game: Humaita 0-0 Operario PR (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
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Tombense

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Last Game: CSE 1-3 Tombense
Wednesday, February 26 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ferroviario win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tombense had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ferroviario win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Tombense win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Operario Ferroviario in this match.

Result
Operario FerroviarioDrawTombense
61.01% (0.044000000000004 0.04)24.15% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)14.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 39.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)59.32% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)79.72% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Operario Ferroviario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.031000000000006 0.03)19.32% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.92% (0.052 0.05)51.08% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Tombense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)85.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Operario Ferroviario 61%
    Tombense 14.84%
    Draw 24.15%
Operario FerroviarioDrawTombense
1-0 @ 16.31%
2-0 @ 13.4%
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.98%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 14.84%

rhs 2.0


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