Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.