Vasco da Gama
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
0 - 0
Lanus


Jair (33'), Jair (33'), Adson (79'), Adson (79'), Adson (79'), Adson (79')
FT

(48'), (48'), Cabrera (61'), Izquierdoz (61'), Cabrera (61'), Izquierdoz (61')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vasco da Gama and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 0-0 Flamengo
Saturday, April 19 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Lanus

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Banfield
Saturday, April 19 at 8.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawLanus
37.59% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)29.45%32.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 43.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.19% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)82.8% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (0.004999999999999 0)69.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (0.0020000000000095 0)35.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)72.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 37.58%
    Lanus 32.95%
    Draw 29.44%
Vasco da GamaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.01%
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.44%
0-1 @ 11.95%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 32.95%