Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Rafael Calles Pinto

Puerto Cabello
2 - 2
Lanus

Paredes (14'), Awudu (50')
Eduardo Linares Martinez (52'), Hernandez (70'), Padron (80'), Javier Guerrero Reyes (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Canelo (69'), Aquino (75')
Agustin Medina (38'), Segovia (52'), Cardozo (90+5')
Segovia (60')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 3-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
Friday, March 28 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.02%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 30.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.79%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Academia Puerto CabelloDrawLanus
30.38% (0.142 0.14)31.6% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)38.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 37.67% (0.203 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.92% (0.221 0.22)70.07% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.71% (0.14 0.14)87.28% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Academia Puerto Cabello Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.68% (0.245 0.25)41.32% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.16% (0.216 0.22)77.84% (-0.215 -0.22)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)35.81% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (0.082000000000001 0.08)72.58% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Academia Puerto Cabello 30.38%
    Lanus 38.01%
    Draw 31.59%
Academia Puerto CabelloDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.94% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 30.38%
0-0 @ 14.79% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-1 @ 13.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.05% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.59%
0-1 @ 15.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.01%