Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 38.02%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 30.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.79%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 1-0 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.