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Copa Libertadores

Defensor
Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario

Defensor
1 - 0
Puerto Cabello

Mansilla (45+2', 45+2')
Bernal (17'), Bernal (17'), De Los Santos (76'), De Los Santos (76'), Andres Wunsch Tomas (88'), Wunsch (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Peraza (18'), Peraza (18'), Sanvicente (18'), Miku (21'), Miku (21'), Celis (35'), Celis (35'), Cobos (77'), Cobos (77')
Peraza (90+2'), Peraza (90+3')
Puerto Cabello win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Defensor Sporting and Academia Puerto Cabello.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 3-2 Defensor
Wednesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Academia Puerto Cabello

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 3-2 Defensor
Wednesday, February 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
34.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)28.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.46% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.62% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)60.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.93% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (0.0020000000000095 0)32.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)69.58% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Academia Puerto Cabello Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)31.92% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.37% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 34.8%
    Academia Puerto Cabello 36.45%
    Draw 28.73%
Defensor SportingDrawAcademia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.73%
0-1 @ 12.02%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.45%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2024 12.30am
First Round 1st Leg
Puerto Cabello
3-2
Defensor
Romero (1'), Miku (36'), Covea (88')
Congo (7'), Cobos (65'), Bravo (71'), Covea (90+1')
Bernal (24'), Rivero (67' pen.)
Barco (54'), Bernal (80'), De Los Santos (90+7')
rhs 2.0


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