Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10

Mar 17, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
4 - 1
Instituto

Carrera (44', 44'), Segovia (61', 61'), Moreno (70', 70'), Canelo (90+2', 90+2')
Carrera (65'), Carrera (65')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Luna (18', 18')
Lodico (52'), Lodico (52'), Moreyra (88'), Moreyra (88')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 0-0 Lanus
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Instituto

All competitions

Last Game: Instituto 1-1 Godoy Cruz
Monday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.73%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Instituto
60.46% ( 1)	25.34% ( -0.84)	14.21% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 35.39% (

1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.2% (

2.12)

63.81% (

-2.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.96% (

1.49)

83.05% (

-1.48)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

1.31)

21.32% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

1.98)

54.28% (

-1.97)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.98% (

1.06)

55.02% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.11% (

0.62)

87.89% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Lanus 60.45%

Instituto 14.21%

Draw 25.33%

Lanus	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 18.13% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 14% 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.68% Total : 60.45%	0-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.95) 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.27% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.21%