Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Feb 22, 2025 at 9pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 0
Instituto

Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (53'), Mancuello (71' pen.)
Cabral (10'), Tarzia (16'), Anyiver Angulo Mosquera (80'), Hidalgo (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Franco (6'), Luna (13'), Alarcon (45'), Requena (90+1'), Acevedo (90+6'), Roffo (90+5')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 1-1 Independiente
Monday, February 17 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Instituto

All competitions

Last Game: Instituto 0-1 San Lorenzo
Tuesday, February 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 54.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Instituto
54.72% ( -0.4)	27.77% ( 0.2)	17.51% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 35.83% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.27% (

-0.34)

66.73% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92% (

-0.23)

85.08% (

0.23)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.34)

25.04% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.47)

59.72% (

0.47)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.8% (

0.05)

52.2% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.87% (

0.04)

86.13% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Independiente 54.71%

Instituto 17.51%

Draw 27.76%

Independiente	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 18.09% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 54.71%	0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.51%