Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academia Puerto Cabello win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.