Copa Sudamericana
-
Dylan Aquino
37'
-
Dylan Aquino
37'
-
Marcelino Moreno
45'+1'
-
Marcelino Moreno
45'+1'
-
Eduardo Salvio
47'
-
Eduardo Salvio
47'
-
Franco Orozco
79'
-
Franco Orozco
79'
-
Agustin Javier Rodriguez
90'
-
Agustin Javier Rodriguez
90'
-
Horacio Orzan
34'
-
Horacio Orzan
34'
-
Tomas Martinez
69'
-
Tomas Martinez
69'
Lanus vs Melgar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Melgar had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Melgar win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
Result
Lanus
57.3%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
24.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Melgar
18.01%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
43.68%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.25%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 2.5
56.75%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 3.5
22.3%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
77.7%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 4.5
9.69%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
90.31%
▼
(-0.16)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5
80.26%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
19.74%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
48.23%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
51.77%
▼
(-0.28)
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5
54.43%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
45.57%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
18.61%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
81.38%
▼
(-0.13)
Score analysis
Lanus
57.29%
Draw
24.68%
Melgar
18.01%
Lanus
1-0
@
14.59%
▼
(-0.10)
2-0 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 57.29%
2-0 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 57.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.47%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.68%
0-0 @ 9% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 24.68%
Melgar
0-1
@
7.07%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 18.01%
1-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 18.01%