Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 6, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Independiente

Lanus
1 - 1
Independiente

Salvio (61' pen.)
Cardozo (14'), Moreno (21'), Agustin Medina (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Galdames (3')
Fernandez (64')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Puerto Cabello 2-2 Lanus
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Independiente
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente
48.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.79% (0.0020000000000024 0)23.31% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.02% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)61.98% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)81.72% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.58% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.16% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)42.84% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)79.16% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 48.89%
    Independiente 23.31%
    Draw 27.78%
LanusDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 14.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 48.89%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 9.29%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.31%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 11.15pm
Gameweek 18
Lanus
0-2
Independiente

Carrera (21'), Soler (81')
Boggio (74')
Mancuello (54'), Avalos (79')
Gabriel Montiel (36'), Martinez (84')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 18
Independiente
1-1
Lanus
Cauteruccio (12')
Laso (31'), Gomez (90+2')
Sand (90+3' pen.)
Kudelka (32'), Boggio (34'), Martin Ginzo (54'), Lema (55')
Boggio (47')
Aug 13, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 13
Lanus
1-1
Independiente
Sand (20')
Pasquini (13'), Sand (29'), Monetti (57'), Aguirre (90+6')
Benegas (83')
Rodriguez (13'), Barreto (54')
May 1, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Lanus
1-0
Independiente
Perez (45+1'), Gonzalez (86'), Varaldo (90+4')
Vigo (32'), Poblete (58'), Costa (60'), Ostachuk (90+5')
Sep 13, 2021 8.30pm
Second Phase
Independiente
0-1
Lanus

Velasco (33'), Romero (77'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Manuel Lopez (50')
Morel (33'), Belmonte (40'), Sand (45+2')
Belmonte (45+2')