Copa Sudamericana
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-
Jorge Rojas
41'
-
Victor Abrego
66'
-
Oscar Baldomar
78'
-
Diego Gaspar Diellos
83'
-
Luis Fernando Pavia Mamani
90'
-
Saidt Mustafa
90'+1'
-
Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera
90'
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Sebastian Valdez
90'+1'
Nacional Potosi vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional Potosi would win this match.
Result
Nacional Potosi
39.68%
▼
(-4.29)
Draw
27.3%
▲
(+0.14)
Independiente
33.02%
▲
(+4.15)
Both Teams to Score:
49.58%
▲
(+1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.13%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 2.5
55.87%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 3.5
23.02%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 3.5
76.98%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 4.5
10.13%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 4.5
89.87%
▼
(-0.40)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5
72.49%
▼
(-1.92)
Under 0.5
27.51%
▲
(+1.92)
Over 1.5
36.98%
▼
(-2.54)
Under 1.5
63.02%
▲
(+2.54)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5
68.4%
▲
(+3.42)
Under 0.5
31.6%
▼
(-3.42)
Over 1.5
31.99%
▲
(+3.76)
Under 1.5
68.01%
▼
(-3.76)
Score analysis
Nacional Potosi
39.68%
Draw
27.29%
Independiente
33.02%
Nacional Potosi
1-0
@
11.22%
▼
(-1.00)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.40)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-1.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.38)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.67)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.68%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.40)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-1.09)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.38)
3-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.67)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.20)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.68%
Draw
1-1
@
12.92%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.29%
0-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.27)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.29%
Independiente
0-1
@
10.01%
▲
(+0.61)
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.73)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.84)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.51)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.49)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.02%
1-2 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.73)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.84)
1-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.51)
0-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.49)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.02%