Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario de Vinto win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario de Vinto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.