Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Felix Capriles

Universitario de Vinto
0 - 1
Nacional


Jara (14'), Jara (14'), Mendoza (27'), Mendoza (27')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alejandro Camacho Almanza (31' og., 31' og.)
Prost (72'), Prost (72')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario de Vinto

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Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Nacional Potosi

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Last Game: Boca Juniors 4-0 Nacional
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario de Vinto win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario de Vinto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Universitario de VintoDrawNacional Potosi
58.01% (-0.058 -0.06)21.91% (0.029 0.03)20.08% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)42.87% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)65.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Universitario de Vinto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)14.5% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)42.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)71.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Universitario de Vinto 58.01%
    Nacional Potosi 20.08%
    Draw 21.91%
Universitario de VintoDrawNacional Potosi
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 58.01%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.08%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 10pm
First Round
Universitario de Vinto
0-2
Nacional
Callejo (6'), Cristaldo (87' pen.)
Andia (41'), Biaggio (42'), Anez (50'), Hoyos (64')
Biaggio (66'), Hoyos (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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