Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 24, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
2 - 3
Palmeiras

Gomes (56', 69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Manuel Lopez (19'), Willian (45'), Mauricio (73')
Anderson (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

Last Game: Bolivar 3-0 Cristal
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Palmeiras
39.05% ( 0.12)	24.07% ( 0.09)	36.87% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 61.15% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.73% (

-0.48)

41.26% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.34% (

-0.48)

63.66% (

0.48)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.15)

21.25% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.83% (

-0.23)

54.17% (

0.23)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

-0.33)

22.34% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

-0.49)

55.82% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Bolivar 39.05%

Palmeiras 36.87%

Draw 24.07%

Bolivar	Draw	Palmeiras
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.07%	1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.87%