Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Sporting Cristal

Cerro Porteno
2 - 2
Cristal

Dominguez (42', 42'), Carrizo (44', 44')
Viera (15'), Viera (15'), Perez (30'), Perez (30'), Dominguez (45+3'), Dominguez (45+3')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Emanuel Gonzalez (37', 37'), Lutiger (90+2', 90+2')
Lutiger (36'), Lutiger (36'), Romero (61'), Romero (61'), Tavara (67'), Tavara (67')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Sporting Cristal

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Last Game: Bolivar 3-0 Cristal
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawSporting Cristal
51.51% (-0.509 -0.51)24.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)23.77% (0.48 0.48)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.44 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (0.319 0.32)50.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (0.281 0.28)72.53% (-0.28 -0.28)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)19.64% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.132 -0.13)51.61% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.614 0.61)36.01% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.624 0.62)72.79% (-0.622 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 51.51%
    Sporting Cristal 23.77%
    Draw 24.71%
Cerro PortenoDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 6% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.77%