Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.