Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Bragantino
39.09% ( -0.06)	26.76% ( 0.02)	34.15% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.44% (

-0.07)

53.55% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93% (

-0.05)

75.06% (

0.05)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-0.06)

26.76% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.96% (

-0.08)

62.03% (

0.08)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

-0.01)

29.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.24% (

-0.01)

65.75% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gremio 39.08%

Bragantino 34.15%

Draw 26.75%

Gremio	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.08%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.15%