Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
35.8% ( 1.32)	27.51% ( 0.42)	36.69% ( -1.75)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-1.56)

56.4% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-1.28)

77.41% (

1.27)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93% (

0.06)

30.06% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8% (

0.08)

66.2% (

-0.08)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

-1.78)

29.52% (

1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

-2.23)

65.53% (

2.23)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 35.79%

Gremio 36.68%

Draw 27.51%

Vitoria	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.79%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.68%

Head to Head

Dec 4, 2024 11pm

Gameweek 37

Vitoria

1-1

Gremio

Alerrandro (67')
Neris (51'), Carpini (52')

Pedro (37')
Marchesin (45+3'), Reinaldo (70')

Jul 21, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 18

Gremio

2-0

Vitoria

Soteldo (63'), Reinaldo (90+6' pen.)
Carballo (45+1')

Willians Assis Arcanjo (17'), Naldi (23'), Janderson (35'), Kennyd Gabriel Santos (52'), Oliveira (60'), Carpini (71'), Esteves (90+2'), Reynaldo (90+5')

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Nov 25, 2018 7pm

Gameweek 37

Vitoria

0-0

Gremio

Farias (17'), Jeferson (90')

Michel (29'), Kannemann (42'), Santos (51'), Geromel (86')

Aug 12, 2018 11pm

Gameweek 18

Gremio

4-0