Brasileiro
Gameweek
4
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-
Daniel Borges
3'
-
Reinaldo
21'
-
Luiz Henrique Soares Firmino
64'
-
Reinaldo
78'
-
Daniel Borges
85'
-
Daniel Borges
86'
-
Martin Braithwaite
15'
-
Tiago Volpi
18'
-
Mathias Villasanti
60'
-
Edenilson
67'
-
Martin Braithwaite
82'
Mirassol vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirassol would win this match.
Result
Mirassol
37.81%
▲
(+1.80)
Draw
28.1%
▲
(+0.49)
Gremio
34.08%
▼
(-2.29)
Both Teams to Score:
47.36%
▼
(-1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.26%
▼
(-1.94)
Under 2.5
58.74%
▲
(+1.94)
Over 3.5
20.74%
▼
(-1.53)
Under 3.5
79.26%
▲
(+1.53)
Over 4.5
8.76%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 4.5
91.24%
▲
(+0.91)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5
70.01%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
29.99%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
33.89%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
66.11%
▼
(-0.18)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5
67.65%
▼
(-2.45)
Under 0.5
32.35%
▲
(+2.44)
Over 1.5
31.14%
▼
(-2.85)
Under 1.5
68.86%
▲
(+2.85)
Score analysis
Mirassol
37.8%
Draw
28.1%
Gremio
34.08%
Mirassol
1-0
@
11.68%
▲
(+0.87)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 37.8%
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.56)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 37.8%
Draw
1-1
@
13.18%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.69)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.1%
0-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.69)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.1%
Gremio
0-1
@
10.94%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.44)
0-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.37)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.08%
1-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.44)
0-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.39)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.37)
0-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.08%