Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 67.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Vitoria
67.86% ( 0.01)	20.21% ( 0.06)	11.93% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 42.48% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

-0.4)

50.57% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

-0.35)

72.49% (

0.35)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.06% (

-0.12)

13.94% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.6% (

-0.24)

41.4% (

0.24)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.36% (

-0.37)

50.64% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.9% (

-0.25)

85.1% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 67.85%

Vitoria 11.93%

Draw 20.21%

Fluminense	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.3% Total : 67.85%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.21%	0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 11.93%