Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Fluminense
43.39% ( 1.11)	26.71% ( 0.16)	29.9% ( -1.28)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

-1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47% (

-1.11)

54.53% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12% (

-0.93)

75.88% (

0.93)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.07)

24.93% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

0.09)

59.56% (

-0.1)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

-1.49)

33.12% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

-1.68)

69.71% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 43.38%

Fluminense 29.9%

Draw 26.71%

Corinthians	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.9%