Copa Sudamericana
Apr 24, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Manoel Barradas
  • Matheuzinho 33' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 33' yellowcard
  • Ronald 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ronald 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Janderson 51' yellowcard
  • Janderson 51' yellowcard
  • Facundo Parada 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Facundo Parada 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 26'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Bertochi 26'
  • yellowcard Alan Garcia 42'
  • yellowcard Alan Garcia 42'
  • goal Facundo Peraza 75'
  • goal Facundo Peraza 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Parada 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Facundo Parada 90'+5'

Vitoria vs Cerro Largo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 10, 2025 11.00pm
Defensa 0 - 0 Vitoria

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 11, 2025 3.00am
U. Catolica 3 - 1 Cerro Largo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 59.15% (-0.05)
Draw 25.16% (+0.02)
Cerro Largo 15.68% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.52% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.69% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 61.31% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 18.77% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 81.22% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 7.64% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 92.36% (-0.01)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 79.18% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.82% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.49% (+0.02)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 48.65% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 51.34% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 14.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 85.57% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Vitoria 59.15%
Draw 25.15%
Cerro Largo 15.69%
Vitoria
1-0 @ 16.77% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.16% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59%
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.15%
Cerro Largo
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.69%