Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Cerro Largo logo

Vitoria
0 - 1
Cerro Largo


Matheuzinho (33'), Matheuzinho (33'), Ronald (45+1'), Ronald (45+1'), Janderson (51'), Janderson (51'), Parada (90+3'), Parada (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Peraza (75', 75')
Bertochi (26'), Bertochi (26'), Garcia (42'), Garcia (42'), Parada (90+5'), Parada (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Vitoria and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-0 River Plate
Friday, April 18 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
VitoriaDrawCerro Largo
59.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)25.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01)15.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 38.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.69% (0.012 0.01)61.31% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)81.22% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)20.82% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)51.34% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.42% (0.032 0.03)85.57% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 59.15%
    Cerro Largo 15.69%
    Draw 25.15%
VitoriaDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 16.77% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59%
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.15%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.69%