Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 6, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
0 - 4
Nacional


Gianoli (9'), Bonifazi (43'), Brasil (60'), Perez (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Boggio (8'), Otero (32', 63'), Martin Villalba Jaume (75')
Ancheta (23'), Herazo (26'), Millan (74')
Herazo (58')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Defensa
Friday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 3-0 Nacional
Thursday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
30.49% (-1.654 -1.65)27.65% (0.285 0.29)41.86% (1.369 1.37)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-1.422 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (-1.523 -1.52)57.86% (1.524 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (-1.215 -1.22)78.58% (1.217 1.22)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-1.982 -1.98)34.43% (1.985 1.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-2.173 -2.17)71.14% (2.175 2.18)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.031999999999996 0.03)27.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 30.48%
    Nacional 41.85%
    Draw 27.65%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.274 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.47% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 13% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.38% (0.531 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 12.19% (0.7 0.7)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.85%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
0-1
Nacional

Cosentino (1'), Rabino (90')
Lopez (48')
Bentancourt (22'), Oliva (35'), Lopez (69'), Pereyra (88')
Jun 23, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
0-4
Nacional

Acosta (9'), Assis (14'), Prado (45+13'), Silveira (45+16'), Brasil (45+20'), Nunez (45+3'), Rabino (55'), de Luca Ibargoyen (87')
Brasil (45+21'), Silveira (90+1')
Pereyra (13'), Sanabria (45+8'), Galeano (49'), Santander (75')
Gonzalez (43'), Bentancourt (45'), Pereyra (45+7'), Polenta (66')
Apr 6, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Baez (32')
Pereyra (20'), Sosa (37'), Baez (39'), Acosta (53'), Zabala (79'), Recoba (80'), Velazquez (85'), Zabala (90+5')

Romero (40'), Castro (65'), Formento (75')
Aug 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
2-2
Nacional
Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')