Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 10
Cerro Largo
Apr 6, 2025 9.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Martin Gianoli 9' yellowcard
  • Facundo Bonifazi 43' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 60' yellowcard
  • Agustin Perez 61' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Boggio 8'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Ancheta 23'
  • yellowcard Diego Herazo 26'
  • goal Romulo Otero 32'
  • redcard Diego Herazo 58'
  • goal Romulo Otero 63'
  • yellowcard Julian Millan 74'
  • goal Lucas Martin Villalba Jaume 75'

Cerro Largo vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 31, 2025 12.30am
Penarol 0 - 2 Cerro Largo
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Nicolas Bertochi

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 7.00pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Juventud
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Nicolas Lopez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Cerro Largo 30.49% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 27.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Nacional 41.86% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.7% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.14% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 57.86% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 21.42% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 78.58% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 9.16% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 90.83% ▼ (-0.11)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 65.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 72.74% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 27.26% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 1.5 37.31% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 62.69% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Cerro Largo 30.48%
Draw 27.65%
Nacional 41.85%
Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 10% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 30.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.65%
Nacional
0-1 @ 12.19% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.85%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
Oct 13, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Luciano Cosentino 1' yellowcard
  • Renzo Rabino 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 22'
  • yellowcard Christian Oliva 35'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 48'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Lopez 69'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 88'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
Jun 23, 2024 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Briam Acosta 9' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Assis 14' yellowcard
  • Sergio Nunez 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Renzo Rabino 55' yellowcard
  • Axel Prado 45'+13' yellowcard
  • Hugo Silveira 45'+16' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 45'+20' yellowcard
  • Mauro Brasil 45'+21' redcard
  • Alfonso de Luca Ibargoyen 87' yellowcard
  • Hugo Silveira 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Mauricio Pereyra 13'
  • yellowcard Gaston Gonzalez 43'
  • yellowcard Ruben Bentancourt 45'
  • goal Antonio Galeano 49'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Pereyra 45'+7'
  • goal Lucas Sanabria 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Diego Polenta 66'
  • goal Federico Santander 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Nacional
Apr 6, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo
  • Mauricio Pereyra 20' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 32' goal
  • Sebastian Sosa 37' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Baez 39' yellowcard
  • Briam Acosta 53' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 79' yellowcard
  • J. Recoba 80' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Velazquez 85' yellowcard
  • Diego Zabala 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 40'
  • yellowcard Alexis Castro 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Formento 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
Aug 26, 2023 10.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Nacional
  • Santiago Viera 14' yellowcard
  • Martin Gianoli 18' goal
  • Mauro Brasil 29' yellowcard
  • Gino Santilli 76' yellowcard
  • Hugo Silveira 90' goal
  • Brian Ferrares 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Tiago Galletto 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Ignacio Ramirez 27'
  • yellowcard Antonio Galeano 38'
  • yellowcard Franco Fagundez 79'
  • goal Diego Zabala 86'
  • redcard Franco Fagundez 90'+5'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 7
Nacional
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo
  • Ignacio Ramirez 14' yellowcard
  • Franco Fagundez 34' goal
  • Lucas Morales 62' yellowcard
  • Leandro Lozano 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Gianoli 14'
  • yellowcard Tiago Galletto 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Santiago Viera 61'
  • yellowcard Mauro Brasil 90'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 2
Nacional
Feb 10, 2023 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Cerro Largo

Form Data

Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Defensa
Penarol 0 - 2 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 1 - 1 Torque
Defensor 0 - 0 Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo 0 - 0 Cerro
Wanderers 3 - 0 Cerro Largo
Atletico Nacional 3 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 2 Juventud
Liverpool 2 - 2 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 1 Plaza Colonia
Racing 0 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 3 - 3 River Plate