Copa Libertadores
Apr 3, 2025 3.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Marino Hinestroza 45'+2' goal
  • Kevin Stiven Viveros Rodallega 55' goal
  • Alfredo Morelos 72' goal
  • Faber Andres Gil Mosquera 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeremia Recoba 59'

Atletico Nacional vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Nacional

All competitions

Nacional

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.

Result

Atletico Nacional 43.22% (+1.34)
Draw 27.53% (+0.16)
Nacional 29.25% (-1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.5% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.16% (-1.12)
Under 2.5 57.83% (+1.11)
Over 3.5 21.44% (-0.89)
Under 3.5 78.56% (+0.88)
Over 4.5 9.17% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 90.82% (+0.53)

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 73.47% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 26.52% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 38.27% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 61.72% (-0.26)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 64.64% (-1.72)
Under 0.5 35.35% (+1.71)
Over 1.5 27.88% (-1.83)
Under 1.5 72.11% (+1.82)

Score analysis

Atletico Nacional 43.22%
Draw 27.52%
Nacional 29.25%
Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 12.44% (+0.59)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.26% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.65% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.26% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.21% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.38% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.52%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.32)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.27)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 29.25%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 13, 2021 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Yerson Candelo 33' yellowcard
  • Danovis Banguero 39' yellowcard
  • Yerson Mosquera 46' yellowcard
  • Jarlan Barrera 63' yellowcard
  • Geisson Perea 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mathias Laborda 40'
  • yellowcard Facundo Piriz 59'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Trasante 62'
  • redcard Camilo Candido 62'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Bergessio 63'
  • redcard Felipe Carballo 87'
  • yellowcard Brian Ocampo 90'+4'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 28, 2021 11.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 12' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 17' yellowcard
  • Guzman Corujo 42' redcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 45'+4' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 51' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 64' goal
  • Maximiliano Cantera 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 8'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 44'
  • goal Andres Andrade 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Duque 57'
  • yellowcard Danovis Banguero 71'
  • goal Renzo Orihuela 74' (OG)
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 90'+3'