Boston River logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2025 at 7pm UK
Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
Cerro Largo logo

Boston River
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Anello (19' pen.)
Affonso (21'), Acosta (44'), Martinez (60'), Emmanuel Gomez Pineiro (77'), Amado (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Affonso (15')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Boston River
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: U. Catolica 3-1 Cerro Largo
Friday, April 11 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boston River in this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawCerro Largo
39.24% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)29.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)31.18% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.71% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.83% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)64.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)83.3% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.14% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)31.86% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.7% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)68.3% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.024000000000001 0.02)37.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)74.1% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 39.23%
    Cerro Largo 31.17%
    Draw 29.57%
Boston RiverDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 13.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.88%
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 31.17%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 12.15am
Gameweek 10
Boston River
3-0
Cerro Largo
Amado (31'), Damiani (43' pen., 83')
Cougo (60')

Cabral (41'), Cosentino (54'), Bertochi (73'), German Cordoba (82')
Jun 17, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 2
Boston River
0-2
Cerro Largo

Perez (49'), Beltran (60'), Amado (85'), Suhr (90+4')
Garcia (45'), Silveira (55')
Correa (79'), Castillo (84')
Apr 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro Largo
2-0
Boston River
Silveira (12', 77' pen.)
Rollano (90')

Vera (11'), Fernandez (32'), Franco Allala (90+1')
Dec 3, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 14
Boston River
0-1
Cerro Largo

Rodriguez (7'), Riasco (29'), Cougo (71'), Beltran (74'), Abbate (89')
Alaniz (77' pen.)
Fernandez (66'), Pereira (74'), Alaniz (78')
May 5, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 14
Cerro Largo
2-2
Boston River
Silveira (90+4'), Furtado (90+8')
Adrian Valdez (20'), Olivera (36')