Copa Sudamericana
Apr 8, 2025 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Pablo Galdames 58' yellowcard
  • Pablo Galdames 61' goal
  • Pablo Galdames 90'+1' goal
  • Kevin Lomonaco 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Felipe Loyola 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Acosta 52'
  • goal Facundo Munoa 86'
  • yellowcard Valentin Adamo 90'+3'

Independiente vs Boston River - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Independiente

Boston River

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
Boston River 3 - 3 Guarani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result

Independiente 66.61% (+0.60)
Draw 21.51% (-0.35)
Boston River 11.87% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.81% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.45% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 55.55% (-0.70)
Over 3.5 23.27% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 76.73% (-0.57)
Over 4.5 10.28% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 89.72% (-0.35)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 84.03% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 15.96% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 54.74% (+0.80)
Under 1.5 45.25% (-0.80)

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5 46.19% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 53.81% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 12.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 87.16% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Independiente 66.61%
Draw 21.51%
Boston River 11.87%
Independiente
1-0 @ 15.76% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 14.46% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.85% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.48% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 4.06% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 2.51% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.49% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 66.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.24)
2-2 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.51%
Boston River
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.87%