Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.