Independiente
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 8, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Boston River logo

Independiente
2 - 1
Boston River

Galdames (61', 90+1')
Galdames (58'), Loyola (90+5'), Lomonaco (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Munoa (86')
Acosta (52'), Adamo (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Boston River.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lanus 1-1 Independiente
Sunday, April 6 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Juventud 4-1 Boston River
Saturday, April 5 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawBoston River
66.61% (0.592 0.59)21.51% (-0.342 -0.34)11.87% (-0.25 -0.25)
Both teams to score 38.81% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (0.692 0.69)55.55% (-0.693 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.27% (0.563 0.56)76.73% (-0.56200000000001 -0.56)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (0.434 0.43)15.96% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (0.793 0.79)45.25% (-0.794 -0.79)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)53.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)87.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 66.61%
    Boston River 11.87%
    Draw 21.51%
IndependienteDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 15.76% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 14.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.85% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.069 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 66.61%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.87%