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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Boston River
3 - 3
Guarani

Gonzalez (27'), Ariel Noguera Rolon (50'), Albarracin (72')
Albarracin (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendieta (54'), Fernandez (60'), David Vargas Areco (90+1')
Mendieta (39'), Cantero (76')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boston River and Guarani.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston River 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, March 29 at 10.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Guarani 2-0 2 de Mayo
Thursday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.92%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Boston RiverDrawGuarani
24.78% (0.772 0.77)30.32% (0.235 0.24)44.9% (-1.006 -1.01)
Both teams to score 37.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.56% (-0.245 -0.25)68.44% (0.24700000000001 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.78% (-0.161 -0.16)86.22% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.77% (0.597 0.6)45.23% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88% (0.471 0.47)81.12% (-0.471 -0.47)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.676 -0.68)30.78% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.807 -0.81)67.05% (0.806 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 24.77%
    Guarani 44.9%
    Draw 30.31%
Boston RiverDrawGuarani
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 5.16% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.37% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.16% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 24.77%
0-0 @ 13.92% (0.13 0.13)
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.31%
0-1 @ 16.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 9.66% (-0.277 -0.28)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 44.9%