Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guarani win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guarani win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.92%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.