Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres

Guarani
2 - 0
2 de Mayo

Mendieta (38'), Daniel Torales Peralta (90+3')
Manzur (73'), Maiz (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bareiro (28'), Martinez (49'), Javier Cornet Bogado (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guarani and 2 de Mayo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guarani

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Last Game: Guarani 0-1 Sportivo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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2 de Mayo

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 2 de Mayo win with a probability of 35.23%. A win for Guarani had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a 2 de Mayo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.02%) and 1-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Guarani win was 1-0 (13.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
GuaraniDraw2 de Mayo
33.3% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)31.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)35.23% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 38.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.56% (0.018999999999998 0.02)69.43% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.13% (0.010999999999999 0.01)86.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.29% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)38.71% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.55% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)75.44% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2 de Mayo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.051000000000002 0.05)37.32% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (0.053000000000001 0.05)74.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Guarani 33.3%
    2 de Mayo 35.22%
    Draw 31.46%
GuaraniDraw2 de Mayo
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 33.3%
0-0 @ 14.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 13.51%
2-2 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.46%
0-1 @ 14.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 35.22%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Guarani
rhs 2.0


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