Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Heriberto Hulse
Bragantino

Criciuma
1 - 0
Bragantino

Trindade Goncalves (54')
Goncalves (52'), Marcinho (52'), Morelli (62'), Carlos Barros Lopes (73'), Marcinho (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendonca Pereira (50')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Criciuma and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Criciuma

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Remo 1-2 Criciuma
Tuesday, March 11 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Bragantino

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Santos 1-2 Bragantino
Monday, April 28 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
CriciumaDrawBragantino
33.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.93% (0.032 0.03)38.9% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.73% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8% (-0.113 -0.11)58.2% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)78.84% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)32.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)69.24% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)29.08% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)64.99% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Criciuma 33.17%
    Bragantino 38.9%
    Draw 27.92%
CriciumaDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.17%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.51% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 38.9%

Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 38
Bragantino
5-1
Criciuma
Capixaba (13'), Mendonca Pereira (30'), Sasha (53'), Mosquera (69'), Jhon (81')
Mendonca Pereira (41')
Rodrigo (39')
Barreto (53'), Figueiredo (59'), Araujo da Costa Junior (59')
Aug 28, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Criciuma
1-0
Bragantino
Hermes (37')
de Paula (40'), Walisson (44'), Ronald (45+3')

Jadsom (33'), Neves (81'), Santos (90+2'), Borbas (90+6'), Jhon (90+6')