Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 8, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Alejandro Villanueva

Atletico Grau
0 - 0
Gremio

Rojas (15'), Rojas (15'), Vasquez (90'), Vasquez (90')

Jemerson (90+5'), Jemerson (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Grau and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Grau

Last Game: Atletico Grau 2-2 Sportivo
Thursday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Gremio

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Santos
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Atletico Grau had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atletico Grau win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Grau	Draw	Gremio
34.42% ( 0.82)	26.5% ( -0.13)	39.08% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.55% (

0.64)

52.45% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

0.55)

74.12% (

-0.55)

Atletico Grau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

0.84)

28.99% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

1.03)

64.88% (

-1.03)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

-0.09)

26.25% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

-0.11)

61.36% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Grau 34.42%

Gremio 39.08%

Draw 26.49%

Atletico Grau	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.42%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.08%