Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Igor Eduardo Schlemper 36' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 48' yellowcard
  • Walter Kannemann 57' yellowcard
  • Cristian Olivera 77' goal
  • Marlon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 5'
  • yellowcard Luisao 10'
  • yellowcard Tomas Rincon 75'

Gremio vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
Vitoria 1 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Martin Braithwaite

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Apr 28, 2025 12.30am
Santos 1 - 2 Bragantino
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result

Gremio 41.97% (-0.68)
Draw 27.14% (+0.28)
Santos 30.89% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.36% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.17% (-0.95)
Under 2.5 55.82% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 23.05% (-0.78)
Under 3.5 76.95% (+0.77)
Over 4.5 10.14% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 89.85% (+0.48)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 73.75% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 26.25% (+0.78)
Over 1.5 38.63% (-1.06)
Under 1.5 61.36% (+1.06)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 66.93% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 33.07% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 30.34% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 69.66% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Gremio 41.97%
Draw 27.13%
Santos 30.89%
Gremio
1-0 @ 11.61% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.84% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.68% (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.13%
Santos
0-1 @ 9.61% (+0.30)
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.32% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.89%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Joaquim 16' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 63' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 64' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 72' yellowcard
  • Julio Furch 90' goal
  • Julio Furch 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente Aguirre Camblor 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Dodo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 16'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 43'
  • goal Franco Cristaldo 46'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Ely 86'
  • redcard Reinaldo 90'+2'
  • redcard Renato Portaluppi 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Martins 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Bruno Alves 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Joao Pedro 44' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Oct 10, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Leo Baptistao 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Wagner Leonardo 90'+2' goal
  • Felipe Jonatan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Carlos Sanchez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Diego Tardelli 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 9'
  • yellowcard Thiago 32'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 47'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 67'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 72'
  • redcard Rafinha 90'+8'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
2
2
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Diego Souza 4' goal
  • Diego Souza 22' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 42' goal
  • Leo Pereira 44' goal
  • Ferreira 68' yellowcard
  • Ferreira 69' yellowcard
  • goal Marcos Guilherme 29'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 48'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Camacho 49'
  • yellowcard Jean Mota 56'
  • goal Marinho 78'
  • yellowcard Marinho 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Feb 3, 2021 7.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Souza 37' goal
  • Jean Pyerre 46' goal
  • Pepe 53' goal
  • Walter Kannemann 66' yellowcard
  • Diego Souza 68' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 85' yellowcard
  • Victor Ferraz 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luiz Fernando 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Kaio Jorge 8'
  • yellowcard Sandry 13'
  • goal Arthur 67'
  • yellowcard Madson 70'
  • redcard Sandry 87'
  • goal Madson 90'+6'
Copa Libertadores
Dec 16, 2020 10.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Kaio Jorge 1' goal
  • John 12' yellowcard
  • Marinho 16' goal
  • Kaio Jorge 54' goal
  • Guilherme 72' yellowcard
  • Laercio Solda 83' goal
  • Bruninho 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 26'
  • yellowcard Cesar Pinares 53'
  • yellowcard Pepe 60'
  • goal Thaciano 81'
  • yellowcard Diego Souza 90'+1'