Santos
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
1 - 1
CRB

Rollheiser (45+1')
Ivaldo (61'), Godoy (79'), (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Herculano Almeida (58')
Segovia (42'), Herculano Almeida (61')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Santos and CRB.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 1-2 Bragantino
Monday, April 28 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 CRB
Wednesday, August 7 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for CRB had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawCRB
58.36% (-0.43 -0.43)22.69% (0.071000000000002 0.07)18.95% (0.361 0.36)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.411 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (0.227 0.23)47.87% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.207 0.21)70.05% (-0.208 -0.21)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)16.09% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (-0.126 -0.13)45.49% (0.127 0.13)
CRB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (0.539 0.54)39.27% (-0.539 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (0.501 0.5)75.97% (-0.501 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Santos 58.35%
    CRB 18.95%
    Draw 22.69%
SantosDrawCRB
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.055 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.57% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.95%

rhs 2.0


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