Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 15, 2025 at 11pm UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
2 - 0
Bolivar

Cerqueira (6'), Torres (12')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 2-1 Bolivar
Thursday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bolivar had a probability of 13.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Bolivar win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
68.25% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)18.47% (0.174 0.17)13.28% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 52.09% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (-0.211 -0.21)39.85% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.221 -0.22)62.21% (0.22300000000001 0.22)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.32% (-0.166 -0.17)10.68% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.44% (-0.372 -0.37)34.56% (0.374 0.37)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (0.242 0.24)41.69% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84% (0.213 0.21)78.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 68.24%
    Bolivar 13.28%
    Draw 18.47%
PalmeirasDrawBolivar
2-0 @ 11.13% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.31% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.65% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.08% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 68.24%
1-1 @ 8.71% (0.083 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.47%
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.81% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.7% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.28%

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Bolivar

Palmeiras
100%
Draw
0.0%
Bolivar
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Bolivar
2-3
Palmeiras
Gomes (56', 69')
Manuel Lopez (19'), Willian (45'), Mauricio (73')
Anderson (90+4')
Jun 30, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Palmeiras
4-0
Bolivar
Rony (24'), Artur (34', 85'), Piquerez (76')

Villamil (41')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
3-1
Palmeiras
Hervias (20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda (89')
Manuel Lopez (13')
Sep 30, 2020 11.15pm
Group Stage
Palmeiras
5-0
Bolivar
Willian (3'), Wesley (47'), Vina (59'), Veiga (61'), Rony (64')
Gomez (29')

Carlos Fernandez Toro (58')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Group Stage
Bolivar
1-2
Palmeiras
Riquelme (67')
Willian (34' pen.), Menino (60')
Rafael (36'), Menino (44'), Henrique (72'), D (90')