Copa Libertadores
May 8, 2025 3.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
  • Martin Cauteruccio 5' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 5' goal
  • Jesus Pretell 37' yellowcard
  • Jesus Pretell 37' yellowcard
  • Martin Cauteruccio 48' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 48' goal
  • Christofer Gonzales 52' yellowcard
  • Christofer Gonzales 52' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Chavez 89' yellowcard
  • Gianfranco Chavez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jhon Cristian Velasquez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jhon Cristian Velasquez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Miguel Torren 52'
  • yellowcard Miguel Torren 52'
  • yellowcard Jesus Sagredo 62'
  • yellowcard Jesus Sagredo 62'
  • goal Ramiro Vaca 73'
  • goal Ramiro Vaca 73'

Sporting Cristal vs Bolivar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 25, 2025 1.30am
Cerro Porteno 2 - 2 Cristal

Bolivar

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 24, 2025 11.00pm
Bolivar 2 - 3 Palmeiras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.

Result

Sporting Cristal 48.79% (-0.56)
Draw 22.8% (+0.12)
Bolivar 28.41% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.28% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.7% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 38.3% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 39.42% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 60.58% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 21.67% (-0.23)
Under 4.5 78.32% (+0.23)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 84% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 16% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 54.68% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 45.31% (+0.54)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5 74.14% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 25.86% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 39.16% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 60.84% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 48.79%
Draw 22.79%
Bolivar 28.41%
Sporting Cristal
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.58% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 48.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.36% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.14% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.79%
Bolivar
1-2 @ 6.93% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.6% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.78% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.13% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.41%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
  • Fabio Gomes 12' goal
  • Fabio Gomes 12' goal
  • Ramiro Vaca 44' goal
  • Ramiro Vaca 44' goal
  • Ramiro Vaca 58' goal
  • Ramiro Vaca 58' goal
  • Antonio Melgar 62' yellowcard
  • Antonio Melgar 62' yellowcard
  • Jesus Sagredo 65' yellowcard
  • Jesus Sagredo 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Irven Avila 6'
  • yellowcard Irven Avila 6'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutiger 29'
  • yellowcard Rafael Lutiger 29'
  • yellowcard Catriel Cabellos 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Catriel Cabellos 90'+2'