Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.