Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.