Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 3, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Presidente Getulio Vargas

Ceara
1 - 0
Vitoria

Marllon (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Braga (37'), Matheuzinho (53'), Claudinho (90+2')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 0-1 Palmeiras
Wednesday, April 30 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Vitoria

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawVitoria
51.5% (0.322 0.32)25.89% (0.059000000000001 0.06)22.61% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 46.73% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.86% (-0.545 -0.55)56.14% (0.545 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (-0.444 -0.44)77.21% (0.44500000000001 0.45)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)21.86% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.134 -0.13)55.11% (0.135 0.13)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.81% (-0.677 -0.68)40.19% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.17% (-0.625 -0.63)76.83% (0.625 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 51.49%
    Vitoria 22.61%
    Draw 25.89%
CearaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.152 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.15% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.183 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.021 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 22.61%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2020 1.30am
Third Stage
Vitoria
3-4
Ceara
Ceara (8'), Carleto (16'), Caicedo (65')
Vinicius (45+2' pen.), Carleto (48' og.), Sobral (61'), Lima (88')
Charles (30')
Mar 12, 2020 10.15pm
Third Stage
Ceara
1-0
Vitoria
Sobis (44')

Joao (87')
Sep 15, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 25
Ceara
2-0
Vitoria
Calyson (28'), Xavier (49')
Xavier (50'), Otavio (75')

Santos (2'), Jeferson (82'), Rhayner (92'), Andrade (95')
May 20, 2018 3pm
Vitoria
2-1
Ceara
Wallyson (21'), Neilton (85' pen.)
Lima (27'), Kanu (27'), Jeferson (88'), Costa (93')
Wescley (76')