Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 3, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 1
Sport

Serna (60'), Stum (90+7')
Lima (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pablo (24')
Atencio (64'), Hereda da Silva (76'), Lima (81'), Franca Godoy (90+4'), Alberto (90+5')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Sport Recife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Aparecidense
Wednesday, April 30 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Sport Recife

All competitions
Last Game: Sport 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 27 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawSport Recife
61.76% (-1.26 -1.26)22.51% (0.418 0.42)15.73% (0.841 0.84)
Both teams to score 45.34% (0.648 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.87% (-0.163 -0.16)52.12% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (-0.139 -0.14)73.84% (0.14 0.14)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.58% (-0.48100000000001 -0.48)16.41% (0.48 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.92% (-0.875 -0.88)46.07% (0.874 0.87)
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24% (1.079 1.08)45.75% (-1.079 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.47% (0.829 0.83)81.53% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 61.76%
    Sport Recife 15.73%
    Draw 22.51%
FluminenseDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 12.26% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.39% (-0.321 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.76%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.51% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 5.87% (0.212 0.21)
1-2 @ 4.15% (0.205 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 15.73%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 12am
Gameweek 30
Fluminense
1-0
Sport
Braz (90+6')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sport
1-2
Fluminense
Andre (42' pen.)
Marcao (31')
Lucca (67', 73')
Martins (81'), Muriel (82'), Martins Silva dos Santos (87')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 30
Fluminense
1-0
Sport
Patric (49' og.)
Fred (76')

Sander (58')
Tavares (40')
Sep 21, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Sport
1-0
Fluminense
Andre (28')
Nov 11, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 33
Fluminense
0-0
Sport
Gabriel (62'), Winck (84')