Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
Fluminense

Union Espanola
1 - 1
Fluminense

Aranguiz (83')
Diaz (71'), Suarez (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nonato (90+3')
Bernal (34'), Cesar Lima Fidelis (58'), (65'), (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union Espanola and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Espanola

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Last Game: Union Espanola 0-2 Once Caldas
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Espanola had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Union Espanola win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Union EspanolaDrawFluminense
23.97% (0.012 0.01)25.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)50.86% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)20.54% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)53.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Union Espanola 23.97%
    Fluminense 50.85%
    Draw 25.17%
Union EspanolaDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.58%
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.97%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 11.93%
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.85%