Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Espanola had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Union Espanola win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.