Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK

Union Espanola
0 - 2
Once Caldas


Espinoza (61'), Espinoza (61'), Vidal (75'), Vidal (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moreno (57', 57'), Garcia Castillo (86', 86')
Andres Rojas Vasquez (59'), Andres Rojas Vasquez (59'), Arley Zapata Ramirez (61'), Felipe Castano Zuluaga (61'), Arley Zapata Ramirez (61'), Felipe Castano Zuluaga (61'), Pablo Patino Paz (75'), Pablo Patino Paz (75')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union Espanola and Once Caldas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Espanola

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Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-1 Union Espanola
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Once Caldas

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Last Game: Once Caldas 0-1 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 2 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Once Caldas had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Once Caldas win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Union EspanolaDrawOnce Caldas
44.19% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)26.6%29.2% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.41% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.78% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.48% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (-0.012 -0.01)58.93% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (0.025000000000006 0.03)33.57% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (0.026 0.03)70.22% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Union Espanola 44.19%
    Once Caldas 29.2%
    Draw 26.6%
Union EspanolaDrawOnce Caldas
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 44.19%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 29.2%

rhs 2.0


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