Sport
1 - 0
Fluminense

Hernane (11' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Trindade da Costa Neto (28'), Andre (28')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Fluminense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 41.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sport Recife in this match.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Fluminense
41.8%	29.17%	29.03%

Both teams to score 42.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.55%

63.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.21%

82.79%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.01%

29.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.89%

66.11%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4%

38.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66%

75.34%

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 41.8%

Fluminense 29.03%

Draw 29.17%

Sport Recife	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.39% Total : 41.8%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.57% Total : 29.03%