Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.