Copa do Brasil
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-
Gabriel Fuentes
45'+2'
-
Gabriel Fuentes
45'+2'
-
Keno
81'
-
Keno
81'
-
Mario Henrique Gomes
44'
-
Mario Henrique Gomes
44'
-
David Junio Manoel dos Santos
66'
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David Junio Manoel dos Santos
66'
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Lucas da Silva Rocha
70'
-
Lucas da Silva Rocha
70'
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Wellington Carvalho
90'+2'
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Wellington Carvalho
90'+2'
Fluminense vs Aparecidense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Aparecidense had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Aparecidense win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
Result
Fluminense
74.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
16.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Aparecidense
8.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
43.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
43.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
34.22%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
65.78%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
17.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
82.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5
89.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
10.03%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
66.92%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
33.08%
▼
(-0.02)
Aparecidense Goals
Over 0.5
47.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
52.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
13.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
86.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Fluminense
74.57%
Draw
16.54%
Aparecidense
8.88%
Fluminense
2-0
@
13.8%
1-0 @ 12%
3-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 74.57%
1-0 @ 12%
3-0 @ 10.58%
2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26%
5-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 74.57%
Draw
1-1
@
7.84%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.54%
0-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.54%
Aparecidense
0-1
@
3.41%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.88%
1-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.88%