Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense1 - 0Aparecidense
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henrique Gomes (44'), Junio Manoel dos Santos (66'), da Silva Rocha (70'), Carvalho (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Fluminense and Aparecidense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fluminense
Sunday, April 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 1am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
Last Game: Aparecidense 1-0 Cascavel
Wednesday, March 5 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, March 5 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 74.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Aparecidense had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Aparecidense win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Aparecidense |
74.58% ( 0.01) | 16.54% ( -0.01) | 8.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.13% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
