Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.