Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.