Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Botafogo
45.67% ( 0.03)	28.66% ( 0.11)	25.67% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 42.33% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.73% (

-0.41)

63.27% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.33% (

-0.3)

82.67% (

0.3)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-0.18)

27.8% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-0.23)

63.39% (

0.23)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.62% (

-0.36)

41.38% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.11% (

-0.32)

77.89% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 45.67%

Botafogo 25.67%

Draw 28.66%

Estudiantes	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 14.72% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.66%	0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 25.67%