Copa Libertadores
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Cristian Medina
24'
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Cristian Medina
24'
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Guido Carrillo
38'
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Guido Carrillo
38'
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Eric Meza
59'
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Eric Meza
59'
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Guido Carrillo
61'
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Guido Carrillo
61'
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Santiago Nunez
71'
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Santiago Nunez
71'
Estudiantes vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
Result
Estudiantes
45.67%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
28.66%
▲
(+0.11)
Botafogo
25.67%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
42.33%
▼
(-0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.73%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 2.5
63.27%
▲
(+0.42)
Over 3.5
17.33%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
82.67%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
6.85%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
93.15%
▲
(+0.17)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5
72.2%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
27.8%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
36.61%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
63.39%
▲
(+0.24)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5
58.62%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 0.5
41.38%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
22.11%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
77.89%
▲
(+0.33)
Score analysis
Estudiantes
45.67%
Draw
28.66%
Botafogo
25.67%
Estudiantes
1-0
@
14.72%
▲
(+0.16)
2-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 45.67%
2-0 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 45.67%
Draw
1-1
@
12.99%
0-0 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.66%
0-0 @ 11.5% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.66%
Botafogo
0-1
@
10.15%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 25.67%
1-2 @ 5.73% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 25.67%