Copa do Brasil | Second Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Annibal Batista de Toledo

Aparecidense
1 - 0
Cascavel

Rodrigues Barbosa Leite (90+5', 90+5')
(45+5'), de Freitas Rodrigues (45+5'), (45+5'), de Freitas Rodrigues (45+5'), Henrique da Silva Barros (79'), Henrique da Silva Barros (79'), Rodrigues Barbosa Leite (90+6'), Rodrigues Barbosa Leite (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paulino de Castro (33'), Paulino de Castro (33'), Serafini (84'), Serafini (84'), (90+3'), (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Second Round clash between Aparecidense and Cascavel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aparecidense

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Last Game: Votuporanguense 2-2 Aparecidense (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
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Cascavel

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Last Game: Cascavel 1-0 America Mineiro
Wednesday, February 26 at 10pm in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aparecidense win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cascavel had a probability of 23.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aparecidense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Cascavel win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aparecidense in this match.

Result
AparecidenseDrawCascavel
48.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)27.76% (0.016999999999999 0.02)23.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.05% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)61.94% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)81.69% (0.026999999999987 0.03)
Aparecidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)25.52% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)60.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Cascavel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)79.19% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Aparecidense 48.97%
    Cascavel 23.25%
    Draw 27.75%
AparecidenseDrawCascavel
1-0 @ 14.94%
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 48.97%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 10.94% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 23.25%