Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aparecidense win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cascavel had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aparecidense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Cascavel win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aparecidense in this match.