Corinthians
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Apr 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena Corinthians

Corinthians
2 - 1
Sport

Depay (46', 62')
Bidon (58'), Torres (58'), Planelles Donelli (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oliveira (45')
(24'), Franca Godoy (24'), Rivera (53')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Sport Recife.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 0-2 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 16 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Sport Recife

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sport 0-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, April 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawSport Recife
52.41% (-0.351 -0.35)24.7% (0.196 0.2)22.9% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.65% (-0.63399999999999 -0.63)51.35% (0.629 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.559 -0.56)73.17% (0.554 0.55)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-0.38699999999999 -0.39)19.56% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.51% (-0.629 -0.63)51.48% (0.623 0.62)
Sport Recife Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.212 -0.21)37.22% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.209 -0.21)74% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 52.4%
    Sport Recife 22.9%
    Draw 24.69%
CorinthiansDrawSport Recife
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.182 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 22.9%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sport
1-0
Corinthians
Moccelin (81')
Marcao (55'), Moccelin (82'), Sander (83')
> Preview
Jun 24, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Corinthians
2-1
Sport
Maidana (45+4' og.), Jo (52')
Trellez (82')
Gabriel (25'), Marcao (37')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2021 12am
Gameweek 31
Corinthians
3-0
Sport
Natel (87')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Sport
1-0
Corinthians
Gomez (60'), Sander (67'), Serrato (86')
Avelar (9'), Everaldo (36'), Fagner (84')
Sep 16, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 25
Corinthians
2-1
Sport
Jadson (59'), Avelar (89')
Ralf (81'), Pedrinho (86')
Hernane (22' pen.)
Sander (76')